Impact-Based Forecasting (IBF)
The project involved expanding Impact-Based Forecasting (IBF) to five municipalities, analyzing forecasts, developing advisories, disseminating IBF bulletins, and strengthening local disaster preparedness and response systems.
Traditional forecasts predict the weather—Impact-Based Forecasting (IBF) goes further, forecasting the consequences. Since 2021, IBF has been piloted in Nepal, and in 2024, with support from IHRR, it expanded to five municipalities—Bhimeshwor, Bhimdatta, Dodhara Chandani, Parashuram, and Barbardiya.
Key Features & Impact
A review highlighted successes in awareness and preparedness while identifying challenges in data availability, forecast accuracy, and last-mile communication. Moving forward, the project aims to expand IBF coverage, refine methodologies, and strengthen community engagement for more effective disaster risk reduction.